The Top 500 Dynasty League Players, March 2017
A long time ago, these rankings were all assembled by one person. In a basement with very little light. We’ve since grown and adapted our process to an increasingly cooperative site. It’s caused the rankings to be more debated, and has brought more information to the table in order to find the right equilibrium for you to use in your dynasty leagues. The team we have in place now is awesome and you’ve seen their work.
This not the work of said team. The #Dynasty500 is still the work of a madman in a basement with very little light. So you’ll notice differences between how players are ranked on this particular list and the way they were ranked throughout the entire dynasty ranking series. And the ire or joy you feel can be directed at yours truly.
The top of this list is just so much fun. We have at least 11 players who on the surface seem like they could be top-five talents—many of which are at difficult-to-fill positions. We’ve got three shortstops, two third basemen and a second baseman for good order. In fact, they’ve even gone so far as to prevent any pitchers from entering the top-10, even though there’s really only an argument for one. The talent pool may be down in the minors, but the majors are full of young, exciting stars and the top of this list should remain mostly in tact for a while.
Before we get to what you came to see, we sincerely hope that you have enjoyed the countless hours of hard work that went into these rankings and continue to support The Dynasty Guru by showing your appreciation through this link or via the splendid ‘donate’ button located on the upper right-hand corner of the homepage. Donations of any size are greatly appreciated and they are the reason why we can do this and put it all out there for free.
That’s enough text. You’re not here for the text. You’re here for the list. So here’s the list:
|150||Jackie Bradley Jr.||OF||BOS|
|270||Vladimir Guerrero Jr||3B||TOR|
|310||Jose De Leon||SP||TAM|
|359||Luis Alexander Basabe||OF||CHW|
|427||Fernando Tatis Jr||SS||SDP|
|459||Hyun Soo Kim||OF||BAL|
Did y’all overlook David Paulino or did he truly miss the cut?
He was one of the next 10-15 names that barely missed the cut. Life is tough for a pitching prospect.
Awesome list! I look at quite a few of these lists and yours is always a step ahead!
Did you (mistakingly) swap Sano and Dozier? Based off of your position rankings Dozier was in front of Cano and Sano was ranked behind a few more 3B.
Your efforts are much appreciated.
As I mentioned in the intro, these are my personal rankings and not the consensus rankings of the team. As you can tell, I’m very high on Sano and not quite so high on Dozier.
Where would Otani fit even though we’re almost certainly 2+ years away?
I’d put him pretty close to where Alex Reyes is, maybe 15 or so spots later (so about 210 overall). Think they have similar upsides, but Otani is more likely to reach his long-term and Reyes is more likely to pitch again in MLB sooner.
I just want to say thanks for all the work you guys do. I assume that this is a labor of love, since it doesn’t exactly pay the bills. I look forward to this list bigly. Thanks guys.
Thanks! We appreciate you reading the site!
I think Verlander got skipped unless you’re super jealous of him and Kate Upton.
Whoops, nevermind. I r b dum.
Verlander is at #93. Also, yes.
[…] 2017 Fantasy Baseball Rankings: TheDynastyGuru.com ranks the top 500 overall players for dynasty/keeper leagues. […]
No Austin Hedges? Figured he would at least make the top 500
I’m not buying him as anything more than a good first guy off the waiver wire in leagues that start less than 20 catchers.
Delvin Perez? I know there’s some questions about him but he’s still a top 100 prospect, sandwiched between Erceg and Kiriloff in your 101 for Dynasty you did for BP.
That list was mine and Ben’s, and Ben was the one who pushed for him to be in that spot. His ETA and lack of big upside kept him barely off the list, but if he shows some of the pop he did before getting busted for PEDs, he’ll certainly debut in style next year.
I only have knebel, boxberger, and greg holland in a W / SV / K / ERA / K/BB dynasty league, which ones do you envision having any value? I see none are ranked but I like kneel long term and holland I’m so-so on. Boxberger almost certainly being thrown back into the pool.
if I leave behind all 3 I can take heaney and mcmahon instead. at the moment I’m not sure what to do.
Yea, do that.
just curious as to why? this is my first dynasty keeper rollover ever and I dont see why that makes any sense. I have 0 RP and no chance for saves without them, unless I draft some in the 6 round supplementary draft my league has.
You want to accumulate as many valuable players as you can and figure out how they fit into place later. Of course, everything in moderation, but taking a better value player now should allow you be able to trade for a reliever if you absolutely need one. It’s just a slightly different mindset, and the more you let go of roster structuring until you NEED to, the better you’ll be at stockpiling a talented roster.
When in doubt, go with the guy with the most career saves – that’s what MLB managers do. Keep Holland.
Ballpark and relative dislike for relievers aside, Adam Ottavino could not make the cut?
Ballpark plus uncertain role equals falling outside the top 500. He’s a good reliever though.
How are tyler anderson and joe musgrove so low? You’re telling me a very old, washed up McCann is more than 200 spots better than a young, huge talent like musgrove?
Yes, in my opinion at least. McCann is far better than the catching dregs than either Anderson or Musgrove are vs the swaths of SP6/7’s out there. I do not trust pitchers in Colorado without big stuff, and Anderson doesn’t qualify there. Musgrove is the same but with a better park and more of a propensity for the long ball. I don’t either of them as anywhere near “huge” talents.
Curious how close Jharel Cotton was to making the list, and if not all that close, why? Thanks for all that you do!
Cotton was among the next 25 or so names, but I’m just not all that excited about him. He’s got the ballpark but I don’t think he has the skill set to be much more than a barely above replacement level pitcher in a 14-16 team league. Thanks for reading!
Do you think Machado will return to SS, or is that just a typo?
It’s where he’s eligible now. Predicting future eligibility is a useless exercise. Plus, JJ Hardy isn’t exactly a bastion of health, so it would not be surprising at all for him to get at least 20 games there again in 2017.
Well, since your predicting 10-12 years of future performance, predicting future eligibility shouldn’t be such a stretch…
You forgot Jharel Cotton. Any other explanation for his omission invalidates you as someone capable of performing your job duties.
Nope. Didn’t forget him.
In that case, this might not be the best career path for you. I’m sure this comes as a disappointment, and I regret being the one to break it to you. Nobody would take, say, Martin Perez or Cashner over him in a dynasty league.
Thanks for the career advice, anonymous internet commenter. 🙂
HA! You’re dead right about that. I had to stop reading this list after the first 200.
How do you rank Rajai Davis over Jose De Leon?
Give me a guy who can steal 40-plus bases this year over the dreaded mid-rotation pitching prospect, which De León is. Too much fungibility in pitching prospects without realistic high-end ceiling.
Rajai Davis is 36 years old. Is this a dynasty league ranking or a re-draft? Show of hands if you would trade Jose De Leon for Rajai Davis straight up in either!
That said, these are contention cycle neutral rankings, so if you’re not competing right now or don’t have a need for steals, you’d probably want De Leon. Lots of factors in play.
You almost never want a 36 year old mediocre OF over a good pitching prospect. Christ.
Feel free to start your own website genius…
Chill out dude
De Leon is a top 100 prospect, but there are many people who feel he could end up in the bull pen.
Gregory Polanco over Trea Turner, Noah Syndergaard, Stanton and Bumgarner? Starling Marte over Josh Donaldson?
Yes and yes?
Feel free to expand!
Ugh. This list is terrible.
What business does Nick Williams have being at 154?
Still has a ton of natural talent and upside. He hasn’t gotten less risky but he hasn’t lost much of his ceiling either. Could be a .290-plus hitter with 20-plus homers and speed to boot if it comes together and he should be up at some point this year.
And you would take him over Yasiel Puig?
Yes, I’d trade Puig for Williams right now (though you’d likely also be able to get a second piece if you were to do that based on current market prices). I’m still bullish on Williams’ future.
Hey! Great list! Just wondering why Chris Davis is listed as a 1B?
Thanks! Because that’s where he’s eligible right now.
I must say though, your aggressive ranking of Anderson is on point. That young stallion is going to be a fantasy gem.
I am so glad you ranked McCarthy near the end, after a bunch of unrosterable waiver wire trash. His ERA was really high and I never understood people who cited things like “30% hr rate” and k/BB in his defense.
How far off the list is Mike Soroka? What’s the thought process behind him not being on a top 500?
Not terribly far, but he’ll make the list next year on his current path. I know it gets overstated, but the mid-rotation trope is real. As they get closer, they get more valuable, but the annals of baseball are littered with the remains of potential mid-rotation starters.
You didn’t start this list with “It’s been over two months since the Cubs won their first World Series in 108 years…”
I never get tired of reading that 🙂
Can we get some insight into how this list was processed, from 1 to 500?
Sure. It’s a value system that factors in future performance, risk and ceiling with the heaviest skew towards 2017 because not only are 2017 stats most important but they are also most accurately projectable. Obviously age is a big factor, but it’s much more of a factor in hitters than pitchers, and even less in relievers (it’s pretty much non-existing in them). The mid-range gets depressed more than most groups, as because it’s done with a 14-16 team format in mind, those players are more easily replaceable if you’re paying attention. And my assumption is that our readers are paying attention and are savvy on the waiver wire and trade market.
Hey everybody- the real tyler here. You saw a lot of comments coming from Bret that for some weird reason list me as the author. I’ve fixed them. He knows a lot more than me. You should listen to him. You can ignore me now. Thanks and sorry for any confusion.
Hello! Amazing list. I noticed you have Pillar 360. I’m really good at scouting, and after one SP training game I noticed His new short and quick approach will do wonders. His HR total will be most likely be in the single digits, but his new approach will no doubt increase his numbers everywhere else. He sure looks a lot more comfortable at the plate in the few AB’s he’s had so far and it appears Jacoby may have found what he needed.
He’s hit well at every level of pro ball except at the MLB level. He has a natural born ability in getting the barrel to the ball but big league stuff (especially secondaries) are recognized too late. His new shorter approach will allow him to let the ball travel a bit longer before committing. Just the way he’s taking pitches now would indicate he’s seeing the ball a lot better.
The talent is there, but his approach needed something to adjust to the superior MLB pitching. He seems like he may have found something, so look for his offensive numbers to be much better.
.285 / .330 / .440
I think you may be a touch high on the power, but I do agree with the general sentiment. Pillar is a good natural hitter, and while his defensive profile makes him a really good major leaguer, the fact that he’s probably not a great bet to steal 20 bases or hit 10 homers makes him a not-super-interesting fantasy guy.
I got the #2 #5 and #16 overall picks this year in the first year of our dynasty league, what 3 players would you target?
The three best players on the list above. Don’t target individual players.
So at #2 you’re saying I should take Bryce Harper?
I was leaning towards taking kershaw #2 and Harper #5 cause I’m sure he’ll be there and best available hitter at #16 or should I go mookie #2 and Harper #5 I would be set for years with them 2, I really want kershaw cause he’s way above the other pitchers but I’m not 100% decided, thanks
Harper won’t be there at 5. Kershaw has a better shot to be there. If you want both, the only hope you have is to take Harper at 2 and pray.
I’m sure he’ll be there in my league the guys at 3 and 4 are aiming for either goldy arenado or betts
Rougned is at least 30 spots too low otherwise I dig it.
Did you mean to type 3 spots and accidentally typed 30?
Bret, can you or your staff here do perhaps a few articles expanding upon this list? Some of the how/why on guys. We all respect your opinion, and if you have something in place, there is a reason for it.
Risk, distance to majors, contention cycles, league formats, roster composition, etc are all factors we must use when reading this list.
Maybe something with your team of authors on the ‘Top 5 guys they were higher on than Bret, or Top 5 lower’. Or maybe something like picking out a few guys where you differ from consensus and explain why.
appreciate the work. I’ve enjoyed reading as this sites grows each year.
Great job, Bret! Thank you!
thoughts on Rony Garcia, NYY?
Curious to hear the reasoning behind Ketel Marte being ranked 178 and Orlando Arcia 382 here since on the top 50 shortstops, they are ranked 33 and 27, respectively.
Gary Sanchez, Yu Darvish, Aledmys Diaz, and Nick Senzel for Paul Goldschmidt, Joc Peterson, Tyler Glasnow and Anderson Espinoza. 12 team H2H categories dynasty league. Which side you take? Only Year 2, so mostly everyone still in Win Now mode
Seems fair, but I would go for the Goldschmidt side, for he is the best player in the trade. Joc = Sanchez with risks for both of them, Diaz may or may not return to first half form, and getting two great pitching prospects should help ease the Darvish loss a bit for future years.
Why so high on Yulieski Gurriel? Are you scared off by his age?
Bret, thank you for this list and all the work you and your team put in every year. One of my favorite days of the fantasy season.
I think you have prospects ranked a little too highly. You would take Amed Rosario over Carlos Martinez and Brian Dozier? I would take those two over him in a heart beat. I think if you knocked down prospects like 20-50 spots it’d be a lot more accurate.
Can you please explain the high ranking of Polanco? You seem to be the highest in the industry. I’m in a keeper league where you keep five and I wasn’t planning on keeping him. Other options are Trout, Altuve, C Seager, Kluber, Encarnacion, Strasburg, and Villar. Thanks for the help and the rankings!
Thanks Brett, I don’t necessarily agree with the entire list, but I do respect your opinion, which is why I read this site regularly. Keep up the great work and good luck this season.
Anderson Espinoza is on the Padres now. Not sure if that improves his profile from Boston, but probably.
Just noticed Raimel Tapia at 140 – what are your expectations there?
I’m in a 12 team H2H league where we can keep 6 guys in the round they were drafted (each year you lose 1 round of ‘inflation’, so drafted in 16th means he costs a 15th next year) and you can keep the player forever. Free Agent/Waiver pick ups cost a 12th rounder. I have pick 4 in the draft and there is no way I can get Stanton back if I don’t keep him. Thoughts on who you would keep here? We only play 3 OF.
Here are my keeper options (prior to any trades) w/ their draft cost:
1st – Stanton
3rd – Goldschmidt
4th – Bogaerts
10th – Frazier
12th – Benintendi (WW pickup)
14th – Giolito
15th – Pollock
15th – LeMahieu
18th – Nola
19th – Polanco
21st – Swanson
I am trying a dynasty for the first time, but admittedly am clueless beyond 12 team leagues where we keep a few guys. I did a little research and found this site. I would love to know what you think of these guys i inherited on the team i took over. Willy Adames, Will Craig, Jabari Blash, Ryan McMahon, Dominic Smith, Sam Travis, Norge Ruiz, Joe Jiminez, Franklin Perez, AJ Puk. These guys are all players I have never heard of lol. Are they worth hanging onto in my farm system? I just need a little insight if you have the time. Much appreciated!
In case you haven’t received a response, you can also check out John Sickles over at minorleagueball for specific feedback on each of those players. I’ve found a balance between Sickles and Guru to be a good source of info.
Where do you see Josh Hader ending up on this list once he’s up and producing? Not necessarily this year but in the future.
Right now my big league pitching is hurting and I am considering trading away Hader for Sean Manaea in a 14 team dynasty. I love Hader and I’ve been sitting on him for a while but I’m worried that by the time he comes up it’ll be too late to help my team this year.
Hi there, are you guys planning a June update as usual? Thanks!
Look for it in early-to-mid July!
Thanks, man! Cheers
Ezekiel Carrera should be top 100, what a stud.