Top 200 Dynasty Basketball Rankings, February 2017

A quick primer on these #Dynasty200 ranks for newcomers:

These are designed with 9-category, H2H leagues in mind.
If you play in a roto league, I recommend fading the category ruiners like Dwight Howard.
If you play in an 8-category league, you can give a bump to volume guys with massive turnover problems such as James Harden and Westbrook.
I try to keep a healthy balance between present value and upside, but I tend to prefer sustainable periods of contention in dynasty instead of the “go-for-broke” style.

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Rank	Name	Comments	Age
Tier 1
1	Giannis Antetokounmpo	The hype was warranted.	23
2	Karl-Anthony Towns		22
3	Kevin Durant	Fantasy’s best player deserves to be in the top tier.	28
Tier 2
4	Anthony Davis		23
5	Stephen Curry		28
6	Kawhi Leonard		25
7	James Harden	The ultimate punt turnover weapon could easily be a tier 1 player in 8-category leagues.	27
Tier 3
8	Russell Westbrook	Triple double machine is a fringe top 10 9-category player due to legendary turnover totals.	28
9	Kristaps Porzingis		21
10	Ben Simmons		20
11	Nikola Jokic	In the preseason I recommended paying Porzingis price for him. He’s outplayed KP6 of late.	21
Tier 4
12	DeMarcus Cousins		26
13	Paul George		26
14	Chris Paul	Durability, age knock him out of tier three.	31
15	D’Angelo Russell		20
16	Draymond Green		26
17	Kyrie Irving		24
18	John Wall		26
19	Jimmy Butler		27
20	Myles Turner	If you’re not trying to win this season, Turner still makes a nice “buy high” player. I expect him to be more valuable than many in this tier in a year.	20
21	Damian Lillard	Remarkably durable and has improved his PER every year in the league, but lack of steals and blocks cap his ceiling.	26
22	LeBron James		32
Tier 5
23	Kemba Walker		26
24	Rudy Gobert		24
25	Hassan Whiteside		27
26	CJ McCollum		25
27	Kyle Lowry	An ideal win-now pickup, Lowry may come about as cheaply as any top 10 or so player possibly could.	30
28	Otto Porter		23
29	Joel Embiid	Undeniable upside, but massive health risk.	22
30	Jabari Parker	At this price you’re basically buying the three point gains as mostly real, which I am. Further gains in volume expected, but will need a ton of volume to ever be elite due to lack of steals and blocks.	21
Tier 6
31	Kevin Love		28
32	Al Horford		30
33	Zach LaVine	Has cooled off after a hot start, but shooting efficiency remains impressive. Another year of “in real life” awful defensive metrics is moderately concerning for his future playing time.	21
34	Nerlens Noel	The 76ers big man glut could mercifully end at this year’s trade deadline. Obviously dreaming on Noel’s upside with this rank. With 30 mpg he’s an easy top 30 player.	22
35	Andrew Wiggins	At just 21 years old, I’d still be buying as a rebuilding team. It’s obvious that he’s not good enough to be a meaningful contributor now, so his present value drags down his ranking.	21
36	Andre Drummond	Can still build a punt FT team around him with the right supporting cast (Noel, Draymond, Jordan, etc.)	23
37	Isaiah Thomas		27
38	Klay Thompson		26
39	DeMar DeRozan		27
40	Gorgui Dieng		27
41	Devin Booker	I think he can do better than 36% from 3 long-term given mechanics and free throw shooting accuracy. No, I’m not a scout, so take that speculation with a grain of salt.	20
42	Blake Griffin		27
43	Gordon Hayward		26
44	Mike Conley	I had faded earlier due to injury. It may be that we should expect more absences as he approaches his 30th birthday.	29
Tier 7
45	Marc Gasol	Take a hard look at whether you can actually win with Gasol this year, but this may be your last chance to move him as a premium player.	32
46	Ricky Rubio		26
47	Brook Lopez	Still nervous about a catastrophic foot injury, but tantalizing big man efficiency. If you’re less worried about the foot, can make a case for a ranking 15-20 spots higher.	28
48	Jrue Holiday		26
49	Aaron Gordon	Still optimistic about Gordon’s future. Based on his current production, makes for an ideal buy-low target.	21
50	Bradley Beal		23
51	Carmelo Anthony		32
52	Victor Oladipo		24
53	DeAndre Jordan	Unique value to H2H “punt FT” players could make him much more valuable to some.	28
54	Eric Bledsoe		27
55	Serge Ibaka		27
56	LaMarcus Aldridge		31
57	Paul Millsap	The Kyle Lowry of big men in that he can really help a win-now team, but won’t cost as much as most top 30 redraft players due to age.	31
58	Jeff Teague		28
Tier 8
59	Derrick Favors		25
60	Tobias Harris		24
61	Jonas Valanciunas		24
62	Nicolas Batum		28
63	Khris Middleton	Remember him? If he can return close to what he was in 2015-2016, he’ll continue to climb these rankings.	25
64	Avery Bradley	I think his playing time will come down as the depth-rich Celtics add talent in the coming years (and perhaps at the deadline). If not, he’s a relatively safe top 50-60 player for the next couple of years. Excellent rebounding guard.	26
65	Jae Crowder		26
66	Dennis Schroder		23
67	Marcus Smart	Smart is picking up the fantasy pace and retains a high floor thanks to the combined steal and block rate. Nice time to buy low on him since many may have prospect fatigue with him. Still so young.	22
68	Steven Adams		23
69	Nikola Vucevic		26
70	Dragan Bender	High risk, high reward prospect has superstar upside but other 19-year-old future stars have flashed more than he has.	19
71	Kris Dunn	He was supposed to be ready to go as an advanced rookie; on the bright side, he’s averaging about 3 combined blocks and steals per 36.	22
72	Marquese Chriss		19
73	Brandon Ingram		19
Tier 9
74	Trevor Ariza	See what I said about Lowry and Millsap for Ariza, who I may be discounting too heavily due to age. If your time is now, can easily justify selling one of the blue chip prospects ahead of Ariza on this list to acquire him.	31
75	Harrison Barnes		24
76	Gary Harris		22
77	Evan Fournier		24
78	Elfrid Payton	Steady progress for Payton, who has consistently had an impressive assist rate around 30%. Overall and playing time upside is limited by outside shooting.	22
79	Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	I’m still very excited about RHJ’s future. He has an uncommonly high assist rate for a wing and has retained his block and steal ability. If he were playing more now, he’d easily rank among the wait-and-see prospects in tier eight.	22
80	Jahlil Okafor		21
81	Reggie Jackson		26
82	Clint Capela		22
83	Julius Randle		22
84	Cody Zeller	May be an overreaction / confirmation bias on my part (because I think he’s very good), but Zeller’s uptick in playing time may stick.	24
Tier 10
85	Rudy Gay		30
86	George Hill		30
87	Kentavious Caldwell-Pope		23
88	Enes Kanter		24
89	Greg Monroe		26
90	Danilo Gallinari		28
91	Thaddeus Young		28
92	Goran Dragic		30
93	Tyus Jones	Dreaming on a Jones trade out of Minnesota. He good.	20
94	Dwight Howard		31
95	Tyler Johnson		24
96	Emmanuel Mudiay		20
97	Jamal Murray		19
98	Justise Winslow	Some blind faith optimism based on his prospect pedigree, because his steal rate isn’t that special and obviously his offense has not caught up to the D yet.	20
99	Moe Harkless	Not panicking about drop in playing time since there were health issues, but I’m nervous.	23
Tier 11
100	Michael Kidd-Gilchrist		23
101	Rodney Hood	Disappointing year as many of his per minute numbers are down at a time when you’d expect to see growth.	24
102	Nikola Mirotic		25
103	Robert Covington	I’d be higher on Bombs Away Bob were it not for concerns about his future playing time as Simmons and future picks are worked into the rotation.	26
104	Ivica Zubac	Another “Digging for Diamonds” profiled player.	19
105	Pau Gasol		36
106	Jaylen Brown	Reminds me a lot of Justise Winslow, only Brown had a worse statistical profile in college, but is currently healthy.	20
107	Eric Gordon		28
108	Caris LeVert	Wrote him up in January as part of Digging for Diamonds series.	22
109	Ante Zizic	Really good prospect at the time of the draft and his stock has only gone up. Has a chance to rocket up these lists if / when he comes to Boston. See my writeup here.	20
110	Richaun Holmes	Could be in line for massive value boost at the trade deadline. Sleeper alert! Wrote him up here.	23
111	Tyreke Evans	It’s sad knowing what he could have been, but Evans is still useful even in a reserve role.	27
112	Marcin Gortat		32
113	Willy Hernangomez	The Knicks big man looks to be a skilled finisher and capable rebounder. If the Knicks blow it up, he could find starter minutes. Wrote him up here.	22
113	Chris McCullough	Massive upside thanks to blocks and steals, but there’s also bust potential. I doubt you’ll need to pay this much to get him.	21
Tier 12
114	Dwyane Wade		35
115	Chandler Parsons	I respect what he can do at full strength, but have to wonder if that’ll ever happen.	28
116	Marvin Williams		30
117	Tristan Thompson	Enjoying a career year and his fourth consecutive season of steady, incremental improvements. However, he has yet to convince the Hornets that deserves starter’s minutes.	25
118	Lucas Nogueira		24
119	Larry Nance		24
120	Ryan Anderson		28
121	Alex Len		23
122	Danny Green		29
123	TJ Warren	Warren looks replaceable to me on a better team and/or when the Suns kids develop past him.	23
124	Robin Lopez		28
125	Patrick Beverley	May be too low on him due to the lacking volume stats. He can never stay healthy and much of his value comes from low turnovers, but for 9-cat roto leagues, he can flirt with top 50 value when he plays.	28
126	Mason Plumlee		26
127	Darren Collison		29
128	Derrick Rose	I’d caution Rose owners not to assume he’ll continue to get playing time, similar to Rondo, because his efficiency and D are not conducive to winning games.	28
129	Jordan Clarkson		24
130	Jeremy Lin	Lin’s body has betrayed him and his fantasy owners. He’s a productive fantasy player when healthy.	28
131	Kent Bazemore		27
132	Thon Maker	Has flashed in a very small sample. Something of a mystery prospect. Don’t have a good feel for him.	19
133	Dejounte Murray	I’d be more excited given the talent and opportunity to play were it not for the alarmingly low steal and block rates. They were better in college, though (which bodes well for his future).	20
134	Kyle Anderson	There’s a pulse from Kyle Anderson. Don’t sleep on his upside – dude has elite (combined) block and steal rates.	23
Tier 13
135	Malcolm Brogdon	Worried about playing time as Bucks upgrade and get Middleton back, but efficient from three and solid steal rate is a nice foundation for this polished (old) rookie.	24
136	Sam Dekker		22
137	Juan Hernangomez		21
138	Deyonta Davis		20
139	Josh Richardson	Development stalled out for what looked to be a promising three and D player.	23
140	Jon Leuer		27
141	Frank Kaminsky		23
142	JJ Redick		32
143	JR Smith		31
144	Wesley Matthews		30
145	DeMarre Carroll		30
146	Andre Roberson		25
147	Dirk Nowitzki		38
148	Brandon Knight		25
149	Dwight Powell	Per minute darling has not been able to earn minutes, but that could change for rebuilding Mavs.	25
150	Dewayne Dedmon	Plenty of upside here should Aldridge or Gasol go down.	27
151	Montrezl Harrel	Wrote him up in January as part of the Digging for Diamonds series.	23
152	Mike Muscala		25
153	Markieff Morris	Nice role player for the rest of this year, but I have to think Washington upgrades on him.	27
Tier 14
154	Kenneth Faried		27
155	Lou Williams		30
156	Jared Sullinger	Has looked incredibly rusty since debuting in January, but surely the Raptors would prefer he takes Patterson’s minutes, in which case he can flirt with top 100 9-category value.	24
157	Dante Exum	May never be the same after his injury, but I want to wait one more year given his rookie prospect pedigree.	21
158	Kelly Oubre	Back on schedule towards developing into a high end fantasy role player; still very young.	21
159	Justin Anderson		23
160	Denzel Valentine		23
161	Buddy Hield		23
162	Dario Saric		22
163	Wade Baldwin		20
164	Domantas Sabonis		20
165	Kelly Olynyk		25
166	Andrew Bogut		32
167	Rajon Rondo	The other shoe hath dropped. As I’ve said all year, his game doesn’t produce real life wins, putting his playing time in doubt.	30
168	Tyson Chandler		34
169	Wilson Chandler		29
170	Seth Curry		26
171	Allen Crabbe		24
172	Cameron Payne	If you’re out of it, I’d advocate aggressively consolidating and then stashing Payne type fliers at the back end of your roster.	22
173	Bobby Portis	See comment on Payne, Cameron	21
174	Mario Hezonja	See comment on Payne, Cameron	21
175	Terrence Ross		25
176	Al-Farouq Aminu		26
177	Austin Rivers	A nice handcuff to Chris Paul that I’d look to sell now for anyone interested in his short term production.	24
178	Jakob Poeltl	Scouts and stats agreed Poeltl was a nice prospect, but the situation and production have been bad. It’s early for him, though.	21
179	Kevon Looney		20
Tier 15
180	Kyle O’Quinn	Has been an efficient backup in his career that may merit a look as a starter for a second division team… like the Knicks. At this point, it’s unlikely he realizes his fantasy potential except perhaps as an injury fill in.	26
181	Jusuf Nurkic		22
182	Tyler Ulis	Nice watch list player thanks to his elite steal rate.	21
183	Henry Ellenson		20
184	Terry Rozier	A personal favorite of mine, but too much needs to happen for him to get an opportunity.	22
185	Patrick McCaw		21
186	Guerschon Yabusele		21
187	Will Barton		26
188	Luol Deng	Seems likely that he’ll be phased out in LA.	31
189	TJ McConnell	A must-sell if you can lock in an asset with more sustainable production; improbably the 76ers have not found their point guard of the future yet.	24
190	Joakim Noah		31
191	Tim Hardaway Jr		24
192	Taj Gibson		31
193	JaMychal Green		26
194	Thabo Sefolosha		32
195	Nick Young		31
196	Bismack Biyombo		24
197	Terrence Jones		25
198	Marcus Morris		27
199	Sean Kilpatrick		27
200	CJ Miles		29

17 Comments

Tom B

February 2, 2017 at 12:36 pm

Where would Larry Nance fit in? Assume his absence was an oversight or I’m just being blind and can’t see him listed.
- Tom B
  
  February 2, 2017 at 12:37 pm
  
  I was being blind. He’s at 119. Thanks!
  - Tom Trudeau
    
    February 2, 2017 at 12:39 pm
    
    Yep… may be aggressive because there’s a decent chance he never gets that extra playing time, but he’s so efficient and he gets so many blocks and steals. He’s useful at 20 mpg, which isn’t easy to do.
Justin

February 3, 2017 at 1:18 pm

14 team keeper where we keep 4

Give up oladipo for a 1st round pick? I’m in tank mode and have 3 other 1st round picks

Currently would be keeping durant, turner and jokic…4th keeper would most likely be Middleton, dunn, ingram or murray

Thanks!
- Tom Trudeau
  
  February 3, 2017 at 3:34 pm
  
  That’s a sweet top 4 keepers, Justin. If you’re able to backfill by keeping one of those guys then yes, I’d go ahead and do that. Then you can spend the rest of the season trying to upgrade Middleton, Dunn, Ingram, etc. into a slightly better / safer 4th keeper.
Jim Norman

February 4, 2017 at 10:58 pm

No Stanley Johnson? Has his dynasty stock really fallen that far that he doesn’t even rank above the likes of Nick Young, JaMychal Green, and C.J. Miles?
- Tom Trudeau
  
  February 5, 2017 at 12:31 pm
  
  If I had noticed, I would have made space for him because he’s still a potential poor man’s justise Winslow. But I don’t think he’d crack the top 150. Offensive game hasn’t developed much. More of a flier at this point if you have roster space, because he does get decent steals and blocks.
Jeff

February 6, 2017 at 4:29 pm

We’ve chatted before – complete rebuild – would you trade 2 of the following 3 for Otto? G Harris/ Smart/ Winslow
- Tom Trudeau
  
  February 6, 2017 at 4:32 pm
  
  I would and if it’s nine category I would do so without much thought because Porter is so good at limiting TO’s. I love making clean 2 for 1’s to free up a roster spot to go fishing on the wire. Depending on the size of the league Nets’ big Chris McCullough or Juan Hernangomez might be on the wire. Both could plausibly start next year.
  - Jeff
    
    February 8, 2017 at 9:19 am
    
    Thanks a ton for the thoughts – much appreciated. Another crazy option for my rebuild – have B Simmons – would u trade him for Horford/ Ibaka/ Jrue?
    - Jeff
      
      February 8, 2017 at 9:20 am
      
      I should note for these – it’s 8 cat – no TO’s involved.
      - Tom Trudeau
        
        February 8, 2017 at 9:25 am
        
        I assume you mean all three players (considering you can clearly see I have Simmons way above them). If it’s a league where you’re keeping at least eight players, probably yes. If it’s deeper than that, definitely yes.
        
        If you’re the sucker de-consolidating in a keep 4-6 league where it’s all about holding on to the studs… very no.
Jeff

February 8, 2017 at 12:02 pm

we keep our entire roster – 16 teams – 16 spots on roster + 2 IR spots. I can’t get it to all 3 – so it would have to be 2 of the 3 – would you do it for 2 of those 3…if so which 2 would you pick?
- Tom Trudeau
  
  February 8, 2017 at 1:07 pm
  
  I would pass on 2 of the 3, especially in an 8 category league where Simmons turnovers won’t hurt you. I think him + replacement player will be more valuable.
Jeff

February 15, 2017 at 6:15 am

Hey Tom – figured I’d ask another question about the same team – 16 team, 8 Cat, complete rebuild so none of this matters for this year…keep our entire roster- 18 spots including 2 IR…I have 1st and probably 8th or 9th pick in the rookie draft as well…I’ll post my roster for perspective and then my question….
PG – D Russ/ M Smart/ C Joseph
SG – B Beal/ G Harris/ J Winslow/ JR Smith
SF – Middleton/ C Parsons/ J Brown/ S Dekker
PF – B Simmons/ A Gordon C LaVert/ D Bender/ J Hernangomez
C – Capela/ Noel

So the main question is this – would you trade Noel/ G Harris/ LaVert for Otto P/ G Dieng/ Tyus Jones – I’m going to try for including Joseph rather than LaVert but I don’t think it will take. At 1st glance it’s a yes but part of me would like to see what happens with Noel up to the trade deadline. Both Noel and Harris are starting to put it together – if it weren’t for that it seems like a no brainer but again I’m not winning now anyways. Would love your 2 cents on that and anything else you would do with my roster – would love to offload JR Smith and Joseph…thanks in advance for your assistance.
- Tom Trudeau
  
  February 15, 2017 at 9:31 am
  
  There’s plenty of variance to all the players involved, but I think the side you’d be getting is actually a bit safer. I’d do it.
Tom Trudeau

February 19, 2017 at 6:33 pm

For those who have been asking me – Lavine injury improves Wiggins’ short term outlook / present value. I think he belongs as high as the back end of tier 4 or front of tier 5. Can buy with confidence, though I still never expect superstardom (not a play maker or steal/block guy).