Six Trades in 24 Hours
Sports has many clichés, perhaps to save fans valuable time and bandwidth that they can reinvest by ignoring their families on Thanksgiving afternoon. I like that the dynasty format has its own lazy catch phrase – “there is no offseason” – for writers to abuse. Ordinarily I might feel guilty about leaning on this crutch in my own writing, but such is the life of the TDG contributor with a full time job, an infant, and a massive addiction to making dynasty trades.
Never have I better exemplified the aforementioned lack of offseason than this Tuesday evening through Wednesday evening from 6:09 PM ET on 1/3 until 7:34 PM ET on 1/4 in one of my favorite dynasty football leagues. (Okay, so it was closer to 25 hours, but that title didn’t read as well.) During that time I executed six different dynasty trades in one league. Normally, I would assume readers don’t really care about any leagues other than their own, but how can I pass up a chance to chronicle such an epic volume of transactions?
For context, this league (14 team, superflex, best ball, keep 28) just finished its first year. I always intentionally tank in year one of startups. Interestingly enough, in my experience most dynasty owners can’t delay gratification. So rather than compete against 13 other competent owners, I duck under the wave with the goal of re-emerging the next year with a young squad capable of sustaining a lengthy contention window. It’s a strategy I’ve employed many times and the fruits of my patience have been… fruitful.
Exhibit A, B, C and D: Case for Punting Year One of Startup
20 Team, Keep 28 (the Devil’s Rejects “Expert League”) –
14 Team, 2QB, Keep 5 –
13 Team, superflex, keep 30 –
20 team, keep 35 (TDGX League) –
(If you thought that was an obnoxious display of my recent dynasty prowess, understand that I fully bought into Carson Wentz and drafted David Johnson… only to sell him for DeVante Parker. So I’m feeling very insecure right now.)
In this particular league my plan was to draft kids, bottom out, sell anyone I felt had more present value than future value, and be opportunistic (e.g. trading for injured Keenan Allen and Kevin White) while trading down in the startup draft to accumulate extra 2017 picks (I have 5 picks inside the top 15 in this year’s draft). And bottom out I did! I’ll be picking first overall.
With phase one complete (young core, lots of high value picks), it was time to go to work this offseason. I reached out to the owners I perceived to be interested in youth and picks (rebuilders, in other words) and within two days of the season ending I was exchanging names.
Trade 1, Tuesday evening: Phillip Rivers for a 2018 1st and a 2018 4th round pick.
The format of the league is best ball and superflex. If you’re unfamiliar with best ball, it’s a league in which you don’t actually set a lineup, but rather your weekly starters are filled in automatically based on which players score the most at each applicable starting spot. As such, depth and volume of options are king, which is why I wanted no fewer than three quarterbacks on my team.
One of the lessons I learned from this past year’s quarterback class is that old reliables like Rivers are safer bets to give multiple years of production than the latest, greatest Goff du jour. The 2018 picks were my own, which may have made them look attractive given that I finished last, but I expect to win next year. So enjoy pick 1.14 in ’18, sucker! (Famous last words.)
Trade 2, Wednesday morning: Eli Manning for two late 2018 2nds
The shiny “2nd round” status in front of these picks made them appealing trade chips when in fact the owners of each pick finished 1st and 2nd this year. Two late 20’s picks for another boring, reliable veteran? Yes, please. Don’t confuse mediocre with bad, folks. Eli’s years may be numbered, but he isn’t washed up just because he’s not that fringe Eli(te) quarterback anymore.
Trade 3, Wednesday morning: Spencer Ware for Jaelen Strong, the 29th overall pick and a 2018 3rd round pick
In a down year for #ZeroRB owners, Spencer Ware was a success story. Who knows how Charles’ knees will respond in 2017, but we do know Ware is a capable every down back with really good receiving chops. He earned the third highest receiving grade from Pro Football Focus among running backs behind David Johnson and Theo Riddick. As such, I’m confident I am getting an in-prime talent capable of fringe RB1 numbers in exchange for some question marks.
Trade 4, Wednesday evening: Dez Bryant, Jason Witten, Zach Miller for a 2017 4th, 2018 2nd, Teddy Bridgewater, Paxton Lynch, Breshad Perriman, Ricardo Louis and Justin Hardy
By Wednesday evening I had everyone’s attention. I had previously received some “I’m not ready to make moves yet” feedback, but after three “trade accepted” emails, I think even the cautious owners were starting to get trading FOMO. Most contenders had already dealt their draft picks to compete last year. I finally struck a deal with a second owner for Dez Bryant, who I view as a tier two dynasty asset. The (old) Dez owner announced the day prior that he may be looking to blow it up. I had more assets (picks and players) than I could keep and so I made my best volume offer. (Remember, this best ball league requires depth, so stars and scrubs will not work.)
My tight end depth chart was hurting after Hunter Henry, so I targeted two useful veteran throw ins (please don’t retire, guys) at the position to help my 2017 run.
Trade 5, Wednesday evening: Joe Flacco for Pick 33, 35 and a 2018 2nd Round pick
Adding Flacco to a quarterback depth chart that already featured Carson Palmer (previously rostered), Rivers and Manning gave me a monopoly on boring, good enough quarterbacks with job security. A fourth quarterback is a bit of a luxury, but without a QB1 I’ll need volume to ensure I get the consistent 20+ points from the quarterback and superflex spots.
The 2018 2nd belongs to a middling team and figures to be around pick 20-25. For reference, the price on Big Ben from a seller has been a high end WR prospect and a 2017 1st… no thanks.
Trade 6, Wednesday evening: Mike Wallace for Brett Hundley
I like Brett Hundley, a YOLO quarterback who has flashed skills in preseason that make Dak’s memorable fake game action look like child’s play. He’s a free agent in 2019, but that’s a long time to wait on a speculative QB play when the opportunity cost is a best ball hero like Mike Wallace. Wallace probably won’t match his 2016 production, but he can be a top 40-50 wide receiver and help me win the league in ’17.
I still need at least four more running backs, but with my draft pick capital in a loaded class, I like my chances of going worst to first. Follow along as I continue to wrap up my one year rebuild here, if you please.