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The Top 250 Dynasty Football Rankings – August 2016

Making fantasy football rankings is a relative breeze, because unlike other sports that can be highly format dependent, my rankings would remain mostly unchanged for any league size or type.

Don’t get me wrong, if you play in a 14-team Superflex or two-QB league, a quarterback is incrementally more valuable than if you play in a 12-team league of the same type. So you should remain aware of the nuances of your own league (TE premium, PPR, etc.). Still, the goal—get potential starters that can contribute over many years—remains the same. Mine are necessarily designed for those 2QB leagues (so fade QBs if you play in single quarterback leagues) and tend to lean towards PPR since that is the dominant format today.

I’ve played fantasy football for decades, keeper league football since 2009 until going from zero to sixty on to to dynasty football in recent years. (I can’t imagine playing redraft ever again.) Here’s the kind of roster you can end up with if you follow my WR/QB-heavy strategy. I will need to trade for a running back or two before the season starts, but I should be pretty well set up to contend for an extended run. And if you want to read more about my general philosophies as a dynasty player (so you know what you’re getting yourself into), I wrote them out here.

In addition to general experience, I tend to get a lot of football information from my favorite sites like Rotoviz, Rotoworld, 4for4 and ProFootballFocus.

Without further adieu… the rankings:

*8/25 Edit. Find the 8/23 update here.

Rank NAME Position Comments
1 Odell Beckham WR Best combination of youth and proven production, even if they have come with some health issues.
2 DeAndre Hopkins WR
3 Russell Wilson QB The volume ticked up along with his efficiency as a thrower last year. Only benefitted from one rushing TD.
4 Aaron Rodgers QB Rodgers attempted a career-high number of passes last year. If he can do that with efficiency anywhere close to where it was pre-2015…watch out.
5 Andrew Luck QB Recency bias is strong. There were always more warts than was obvious even before last year, but I’m still buying with confidence.
6 Allen Robinson WR
7 Cam Newton QB Wouldn’t quibble with anyone that put him 1.1, which is why I traded down from the top of my most recent startup.
8 Julio Jones WR
9 Mike Evans WR
10 Antonio Brown WR If your time is now, go get him.
11 Sammy Watkins WR
12 Amari Cooper WR
13 Rob Gronkowski TE
14 Keenan Allen WR Fantasy’s least appreciated superstar had a fluke injury cut short his dominant ’15.
15 Brandin Cooks WR Still younger than many rookies.
16 A.J. Green WR
17 Dez Bryant WR
18 Demaryius Thomas WR
19 Alshon Jeffery WR
20 Marcus Mariota QB Last year was a good first step, but bust risk remains.
21 Jameis Winston QB RT: Last year was a good first step, but bust risk remains.
22 Blake Bortles QB Garbage time king has more warts than volume stats imply, but obviously I still like the overall package.
23 Derek Carr QB
24 Todd Gurley RB If anyone thinks there’s such thing as a good long-term running back investment, go sell them Gurley.
25 Ezekiel Elliott RB See Gurley comment.
26 DeVante Parker WR
27 Donte Moncrief WR Another impossibly young third-year wideout.
28 Jarvis Landry WR Can fade in standard (non-PPR).
29 Corey Coleman WR
30 Ben Roethlisberger QB
31 Tom Brady QB Obviously I don’t think he’s retiring any time soon.
32 Kevin White WR
33 Jordan Matthews WR
34 Le’Veon Bell RB Damaged goods; trust me I get the tantalizing appeal, but I am staying away.
35 T.Y. Hilton WR
36 Randall Cobb WR Should benefit from Jordy’s return to the lineup.
37 Laquon Treadwell WR
38 Josh Doctson WR Getting frustrating Kevin White / Parker health vibes, but love the prospect.
39 David Johnson RB
40 Lamar Miller RB
41 Devonta Freeman RB
42 Allen Hurns WR
43 Philip Rivers QB
44 Matt Ryan QB Boring and reliable.
45 Andy Dalton QB Boring and reliable.
46 Ryan Tannehill QB Boring and reliable.
47 Sterling Shepard WR
48 Jordan Reed TE
49 Doug Baldwin WR
50 Stefon Diggs WR Diggs did not come out of nowhere; he was a highly-touted recruit out of high school.
51 Jeremy Maclin WR
52 John Brown WR
53 Drew Brees QB I don’t know that the size/arm strength is there to help Brees decline gracefully and remain in the lineup beyond this year.
54 Kirk Cousins QB
55 Teddy Bridgewater QB I think he can be more than a game manager.
56 Matthew Stafford QB
57 Brandon Marshall WR I don’t know how much time is left, but I still expect WR1 numbers this year. Good enough for me.
58 Michael Floyd WR
59 Doug Martin RB
60 Jamaal Charles RB Wake me up when he isn’t dominant on the field.
61 Jordy Nelson WR ADP prices him as though he will automatically bounce back to register multiple WR1 seasons.
62 Carlos Hyde RB
63 Mark Ingram RB Looking increasingly likely that he could maintain a pass-catching role.
64 Jared Goff QB Bust risk is real, but even if he’s only a competent starting QB that means you can avoid an expensive QB market.
65 Eli Manning QB
66 Zach Ertz TE My number two tight end has improved in every year; touchdowns are noisy and I think they’ll come just by law of averages.
67 Devin Funchess WR
68 Carson Palmer QB
69 Kelvin Benjamin WR Based on ADP you will never get him anywhere close to here. Between mixed reports, poor efficiency year one and the risk of another ACL injury, I am avoiding.
70 Travis Kelce TE
71 Tyler Eifert TE
72 T.J. Yeldon RB Love those talented non “lead” back that come at a discount.
73 Adrian Peterson RB If you’re going to pay up for him, then don’t half ass it… load up on win-now pieces instead of hedging.
74 Tyler Lockett WR
75 Greg Olsen TE Another great target if your time is now.
76 Emmanuel Sanders WR
77 Michael Thomas WR
78 Duke Johnson RB Perfect role and skill set to be the ideal modern fantasy running back, but the price has become that of a workhorse.
79 Eric Decker WR
80 Golden Tate WR
81 Julian Edelman WR
82 Giovani Bernard RB
83 Larry Fitzgerald WR Pair with Brandon Marshall for old-guy discount and a championship ring. YPA is low, but he gets peppered with targets. Why so much cheaper than Jordy by ADP?
84 LeSean McCoy RB
85 Eddie Lacy RB Only lack of competition stops me from sliding into the 100’s.
86 Tyler Boyd WR Really impressive college production and draft position makes him arguably the most likely rookie WR to succeed long term.
87 Will Fuller WR  The Texans thought enough of him to take him 21st overall. That in and of itself, historically, bodes very well for his odds of success.
88 Leonte Carroo WR A significant value play based on rookie draft ADP.
89 C.J. Anderson RB
90 Marvin Jones WR Expecting a career year given opportunity, health and red zone chops.
91 Willie Snead WR
92 Josh Gordon WR

Too many questions to take higher, too much upside to rank lower. Presumably someone else will bite for more.

93 Tyrod Taylor QB I’m avoiding on the grounds that we don’t know that the NFL believes he’s a starter or a high-end backup. The contract extension means almost nothing given cut risk. Plenty of upside, though.
94 Alex Smith QB Good chance he starts more games in the rest of his career than Wentz or Lynch, given bust rate. Don’t confuse average with bad.
95 Carson Wentz QB
96 Paxton Lynch QB
97 Joe Flacco QB Bounce back is coming. Maintains solid job security.
98 Brock Osweiler QB
99 Tony Romo QB Pair with Prescott.
100 Breshad Perriman WR A boom/bust prospect, Perriman has rare speed/size combination but can’t stay healthy.
101 Martavis Bryant WR It’s not apples to apples, but Gordon’s reinstatement is good news for Bryant.
102 Phillip Dorsett WR
103 Thomas Rawls RB Too many variables that can prevent him from yielding significant value.
104 Dorial Green-Beckham WR It’s a red flag when a team trades away their second-round pick from the year prior, but still pedigree to be a starter.
105 Melvin Gordon RB
106 Jerick McKinnon RB Maybe it doesn’t happen this year, but McKinnon has RB1 skills if AP goes down or retires. He’ll be a free agent in 2018.
107 Dion Lewis RB Tantalizing PPR fantasy skills and elusiveness are perfect for the Patriots offense.
108 Tavon Austin WR
109 Charles Sims RB RB1 skills with the opportunity, but will it come?
110 Latavius Murray RB Sell, sell, sell.
111 Kenneth Dixon RB
112 Jaelen Strong WR I liked Strong as a prospect enough to look past mediocre rookie year and crowded depth chart.
113 Nelson Agholor WR Excellent buy-low target.
114 Ameer Abdullah RB
115 Tajae Sharpe WR I want to rank even higher, but anchored by ADP and draft pedigree. Really good age-adjusted production and glowing summer reports.
116 Rishard Matthews WR Hat tip to WaPo’s Michael Salfino for alerting me to his stand out YPA last year.
117 Derrick Henry RB Not my kind of running back prospect.
118 DeMarco Murray RB
119 Eric Ebron TE
120 Coby Fleener TE
121 Michael Crabtree WR
122 Devontae Booker RB
123 Matt Forte RB
124 Jeremy Hill RB
125 Jamison Crowder WR
126 Ryan Mathews RB
127 Torrey Smith WR Best ball stud.
128 Ladarius Green TE One of the least fun things to do in fantasy is speculate on vague health issues. I’m avoiding until there’s clarity.
129 Braxton Miller WR Something of a mystery man with limited college reps.
130 Matt Jones RB Expensive JAG (“just a guy” for noobies) that’s too costly due to “likely” (nominal) starter tag.
131 Jeremy Langford RB See Jones, Matt.
132 Theo Riddick RB An elite pass-catcher, but enough buzz about Abdullah taking some of those reps to move Riddick down. It’s true that there was a perfect storm last year in Detroit in Riddick’s favor.
133 C.J. Prosise RB A nice stash if you’re rebuilding. Tough to guess what happens in 2016 between health and depth chart.
134 Delanie Walker TE
135 Gary Barnidge TE
136 Markus Wheaton WR
137 Kamar Aiken WR ADP has caught up with the fact that he was actually pretty good and opportunity is still there.
138 DeSean Jackson WR Best ball stud.
139 Jay Ajayi RB
140 Arian Foster RB I expect nothing next season (2017), but I’ll ride him into the sunset because he is a complete player even with diminished athleticism.
141 Tevin Coleman RB
142 DeAndre Washington RB
143 Jonathan Stewart RB
144 Ryan Fitzpatrick QB
145 Chris Ivory RB
146 Danny Woodhead RB
147 Isaiah Crowell RB
148 Hunter Henry TE
149 Jay Cutler QB  Concerned about his long term job security with the Bears.
150 Robert Griffin III QB I don’t expect him to remain the starter long term.
151 Frank Gore RB  If you’re not confident in your team’s ability to win now you can steer clear.
152 Sam Bradford QB I think he is more likely than not to start elsewhere in 2017.
153 Pharoh Cooper WR In the Tajae Sharpe mold as someone with excellent age-adjusted production in college.
154 Julius Thomas TE
155 Austin Seferian-Jenkins TE If you’re a risk taker Seferian-Jenkins still has a lot of talent, just lots of warts on and off the field now.
156 Dwayne Allen TE
157 Clive Walford TE
158 Jimmy Garoppolo QB I think he’ll start elsewhere when he’s a FA in 2018.
159 Malcolm Mitchell WR Could shoot up these rankings in a year; nice cheap target for rebuilders.
160 Travis Benjamin WR
161 Karlos Williams RB I believe he’ll eventually restore order as RB2 behind McCoy. Showed surprising pass catching ability as a rookie.
162 Davante Adams WR  I hope he was hurt last year, as poorly as he played. Was probably always a bit overrated as a prospect, regardless.
163 Kenyan Drake RB The cheapest back in Miami, he’s also my favorite based on ADP. Foster and Ajayi aren’t exactly pillars of health.
164 Chris Hogan WR
165 Keith Marshall RB I don’t like Matt Jones and Marshall is my preferred pick to beat him out, even if at present his place on depth chart looks shaky.
166 Vincent Jackson WR Still some juice left.
167 Mike Thomas WR Another highly productive collegiate wide receiver, but the draft pedigree is lacking compared to similar players like Pharoh Cooper and Tajae Sharpe
168 Tyler Ervin RB A talented prospect made cheap by present depth chart blues, Ervin is a nice target.
169 Jimmy Graham TE
170 Martellus Bennett TE
171 Wendell Smallwood RB From what I have seen the summer buzz is going Sproles’ way, but fantasy-friendly skill set long-term.
172 Antonio Gates TE
173 Shane Vereen RB
174 Paul Perkins RB Caught the ball well in college, but he’ll be behind Vereen this year.
175 Rashad Jennings RB  Assuming I’ve developed a strong WR core, I like to go to battle with multiple Rashad Jennings-types at the start of the year and hope my bench backs turn in to starters.
176 Jordan Howard RB Sketchy fantasy profile, but the Bears have more quantity than quality in their backfield.
177 Tyler Higbee TE
178 Maxx Williams TE The depth chart won’t forever remain this crowded.
179 Austin Hooper TE
180 Zach Miller TE
181 Jace Amaro TE Opportunity knocks for this 2014 2nd round pick.
182 Josh Ferguson RB Talented UDFA is a nice #ZeroRB target
183 Mike Glennon QB I think he’ll start somewhere next year and be a cheap good-enough QB. Great pickup for a rebuilding team.
184 Sammie Coates WR Not enough college production to entice me despite athleticism and opportunity.
185 Bilal Powell RB  If you build your team correctly, you can win with Bilal Powell in your starting lineup.
186 Justin Forsett RB
187 Javorius Allen RB
188 Darren Sproles RB Give us one more year, Sproles. One more…
189 Steve Smith WR
190 Terrance Williams WR  Really missed Romo  last year. Cowboys have yet to develop a significant receiving threat opposite Dez.
191 Chris Conley WR  Another boom/bust guy. Miscast on the Chiefs because Alex Smith doesn’t take shots, but opportunity is there.
192 Pierre Garcon WR
193 Cody Latimer WR  Aggressive ranking, but there’s reasons to believe starting with the total lack of receiving talent in Denver after Sanders and Thomas.
194 Rashard Higgins WR
195 Cameron Artis-Payne RB A rare clear-cut backup RB, just wish he had more pass catching chops (and Cam at the goal line doesn’t help).
196 Jonathan Williams RB
197 Justin Hardy WR  I’m watching him closely as no one has emerged to replace Roddy White and Sanu is so meh.
198 DeAngelo Williams RB
199 Shaun Draughn RB
200 Charcandrick West RB
201 Mohamed Sanu WR
202 Jason Witten TE
203 Spencer Ware RB
204 Kendall Wright WR A forgotten man, but with DGB out of the fold could be back in the mix as the slot stud he used to be.
205 Mark Sanchez QB Too much noise for me to invest with confidence.
206 Blaine Gabbert QB
207 Alex Collins RB Monitor Seahawks’ situation closely as their individual values are fluid.
208 Vance McDonald TE
209 Will Tye TE  Some risk the Giants start Donnell, but Eli throws to his tight ends in the red zone and I like Tye better.
210 Dak Prescott QB Pair with Romo for strategic value.
211 Bruce Ellington WR
212 Terrelle Pryor WR If it’s not a thing (and it probably is not), you can ditch him.
213 Darren McFadden RB
214 Ricardo Louis WR
215 Kyle Rudolph TE
216 Richard Rodgers TE  I think he’s better than Jared Cook.
217 Zach Zenner RB
218 Christine Michael RB Fool me three times…
219 Brett Hundley QB He will test your patience, but upside is immense.
220 Daniel Lasco RB  Not much talent in the backfield after Ingram.
221 James Starks RB
222 Jordan Cameron TE
223 J.J. Nelson WR Speed! Wheeeee!!!
224 Ted Ginn Jr. WR  Another good best ball player due to his “home run” hitting pedigree as a deep threat.
225 LeGarrette Blount RB
226 Ty Montgomery WR
227 Alfred Morris RB
228 Andre Ellington RB
229 Mike Wallace WR
230 Chris Thompson RB
231 Marqise Lee WR  I’d love to own him and take a look weeks 1-4. Health has been the problem. High end prospect pedigree, which should still matter to you even now.
232 Paul Richardson WR This 2014 2nd round pick is finally healthy.
233 Roger Lewis WR I think he’ll be the Giants’ 3rd best WR sooner or later.
234 Charles Clay TE
235 Jeff Janis WR Given the variance in opinions, at this price, you ain’t getting Janis.
236 Cardale Jones QB A viable handcuff to Taylor in case the Bills decide to part ways next offseason (and due to injury risk).
237 Cody Kessler QB Not in love with the prospect, but no other plausible long term QB on the roster.
238 Colin Kaepernick QB Enough fantasy appeal with his legs to continue to monitor.
239 Jeff Driskel QB Here because if he does start, he runs.
240 James White RB Here because of the value of the Patriots’ pass-catching back.
241 Robert Woods WR
242 Keyarris Garrett WR Worse prospects have turned into starters; sucks there’s minimal positive camp buzz.
243 Chris Johnson RB Acceptable #ZeroRB for one more year.
244 Devin Smith WR Worth a stash at the end of your roster in deep leagues.
245 Demarcus Robinson WR
246 Chris Moore WR An option to be the Ravens’ vertical threat long-term.
247 Trevor Siemian QB Anyone who could still be week 1 starter has to crack the top 250.
248 Mike Davis RB There’s a pulse from the once highly recruited HS player.
249 Seth DeValve TE
250 MyCole Pruitt TE

The Author

Tom Trudeau

Tom Trudeau

6 Comments

  1. […] 2016 Fantasy Football Rankings: TheDynastyGuru.com ranks the top 250 overall players for keeper/dynasty leagues. […]

  2. g2-bb45d87d2cd68ed0853b5dc63355e66e
    August 18, 2016 at 5:05 pm — Reply

    Didn’t see that Bell ranking coming. Is that all injury risk?

    • August 18, 2016 at 5:43 pm — Reply

      Based on my understanding of the surgery and reconstruction/repair he had, the failure rate, high rate of instability and loss of function are concerning enough that I can’t justify paying for him over a high-end WR prospect like those ranked ahead of him. The suspension is just the cherry on top.

      More generally, as you can see with David Johnson’s ranking, I prefer not to hold high-end running backs. I’d rather sell for a stud WR and go fishing in the much cheaper pool of running backs that are 2nd on the depth chart.

  3. g2-bb45d87d2cd68ed0853b5dc63355e66e
    August 18, 2016 at 5:06 pm — Reply

    Super fun read btw, looking forward to this!

  4. Kaiser Souze
    August 21, 2016 at 6:03 pm — Reply

    Karlos Williams was just cut

    • August 21, 2016 at 7:13 pm — Reply

      Yep. He will take a tumble in the refresh of the rankings.

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