I am a Red Sox fan and Mookie Betts is in the majors. I should be rejoicing.
But while I’m certainly happy to play along with “Feats of Mookie” on Twitter and to follow Betts’ every MLB plate appearance, I have to admit I’ve been a bit distracted by another thought over the last few days:
Isn’t now the perfect time to deal Mookie Betts?
His stock has never been higher, and it very well might never be higher. The expectations for him are off the charts, and one look at the MiLB season he’s had tells you why. He’s in a major market, he has speed, he has a terrific name and in some leagues, he still carries MI eligibility. It’s a sexy package.
But all of that ignores the very real fantasy deficiencies that plague Betts’ game. He’s not going to hit for much power right now. He’s fast, but he’s not a 70-grade runner or a 40-steal guy. And in many leagues, he’s only eligible in the outfield. That skill set still makes for a good fantasy prospect, yes. But it doesn’t make for an elite one.
Beyond Betts’ specific profile, there are plenty of reasons to try and trade hotshot prospects the moment they reach the majors anyway. Savvy owners looking to flip prospects who don’t fit their teams or who they feel are generally overrated can reap pretty significant rewards if they’re willing to deal at the apex of prospect value. Continue reading →
Identifying breakout prospects early is an absolutely vital key to success in dynasty leagues. The best way to build up an elite minor league roster is to acquire the best prospects cheaply before any of your leaguemates realize the youngsters are future stars. You can’t wait for the famous Top 100 Prospects lists to be published in the Spring. Don’t wait until your next draft to grab these players. You need to snare these guys before someone else picks them up from the free agent pool. Today we will take a look at a group of unheralded minor leaguers who are still available in many leagues.
I have written a couple of columns about breakout prospects this season twice previously (Here and Here). Today’s edition will feature players who will be participating in the 2014 Futures Game. Many of the players in that game are bigtime prospects and are already taken in your league, but some of them are guys who were not really on the prospect radar prior to this season and are likely still available in your league. I will focus here on some players who have exploded onto the scene recently. Their exposure in the upcoming Futures Game will give their fantasy trade value a big boost, so get them now before the game is played… Continue reading →
With the halfway point of the regular season for most teams rapidly approach I figured I’d take this opportunity to check in on some players of pre-season interest to me and see how the first half has treated them. For reference you can find my initial comments on each prediction here. Let’s see how things are shaping up:
1. LaTroy Hawkins will lead the Rockies in Saves
So far, so good. Hawkins has inexplicably held onto the closer’s role all season, managing to log all 14 Colorado saves to date. Those 14 saves, incidentally, are the least number of team saves in the National League. Hawkins has posted a strikeout rate under four-per-nine. His strikeout rate is better than just one other Major League reliever with at least twenty innings on the season, and he pitches in the worst ballpark on planet Earth in which to allow contact. Hawkins’ “success” is more about the collective failure of the rest of the Rockies’ bullpen, as nobody – including sexy pre-season pick Rex Brothers – has stepped up and forced the issue. For all intents and purposes it sure looks like Hawkins will maintain his standing at least until the trading deadline, which is a pretty telling commentary on the direction of Colorado’s season. Verdict: Thumb’s Up
Last year I introduced the Deep Diving series to highlight some names that were a bit below the surface when it came to prospects. These weren’t necessarily guys you’d want to run out and grab, so much as they were players to keep tabs on, so you would know what they’re about when other people are still learning how to say their names. In that very first installment, I wrote about Jesse Hahn — then a High-A starter for the Rays who was starting to put things together. He’s in the majors now and producing quite well, and while that’s not guarantee for anyone else on the list, it was a chance for yours truly to brag.
You’ve been following TDGX. You love TDGX. We all love TDGX. And every week here at The Dynasty Guru, I am going to be bringing you commentary from our flagship experts’ league, directly from the participants themselves.
The goal here is to give you insight into the moves made by our group of experts so that you can use this information the next time you need to make a trade or prominent FA move in your league. So let’s not mess around with too much longer of an introduction. We’re going to break this up into three sections: trades, major league additions, minor league additions.
I’m on the road all week, so I’ll get right to this week’s trades (there’s a lot). As always, send your pending and completed trade inquiries in to firstname.lastname@example.org and I’ll post each trade as a poll the following week. This week, let’s start with what I thought was a solid buy on Manny Machado. Machado is coming back from a significant injury and is also one of the youngest players in the majors. I think the reaction to his poor season opened the door for dynasty players looking to acquire a nice piece for the left side of their infield. Here are this week’s trades…
15 team 6×6 League
Minor league players cost 0.3M to keep protected. Once a player accrues 50 IP or 150 AB, their arbitration clock starts, which is for a total of 6 years. First 3 years are on a fixed scale (0.3, 0.5, 1.0), and then the remaining years are calculated based on the previous year’s stats, with a minimum of $1.0.
Regular readers of this website know that we started a new dynasty league this year composed of expert fantasy baseball writers from all over the Internet, including all of the big names like Baseball Prospectus, FanGraphs, ESPN and CBS Sports. The main reason our fearless leader Bret Sayre created the league is so that you, our loyal readers, can see us in action in a highly competitive dynasty format and hopefully pick up some knowledge and strategy that can help you win your leagues. Our goal is to be very transparent with our thought processes and explain to you every move we make. We have been talking about the league in many articles throughout the Spring and Summer here at TDG, and some of the team owners have written about the league and their teams on other websites such as FakeTeams and ROTOscouting. We have been using the hashtag #TDGX to discuss the league on Twitter, so be sure to follow the action there too and feel free to chime in with your thoughts.
We planned to make the league website hosted on CBS Sports viewable to the public but so far we have been stymied. If anyone knows how we can make that happen please advise in the comments below. Since you cannot actually go to our league site and browse the standings and the rosters (at least not yet) I will be posting periodic updates here. If there is anything else you would like to see just ask and I will do my best to include it in the next update. Continue reading →