#TDGX Transaction Report: More Scrambling for Saves

You’ve been following TDGX. You love TDGX. We all love TDGX.  And every week here at The Dynasty Guru, I am going to be bringing you commentary from our flagship experts’ league, directly from the participants themselves. Today we’re going to cover all of the transactions made post-draft, including a few trades–one involving an elite prospect and another involving a potential high-end starting pitcher.

The goal here is to give you insight into the moves made by our group of experts so that you can use this information the next time you need to make a trade or prominent FA move in your league. So let’s not mess around with too much longer of an introduction. We’re going to break this up into three sections: trades, major league additions, minor league additions.

TRADES

None this week

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Prospect Smackdown: Brian Goodwin vs. Jake Marisnick

In last week’s prospect smackdown, I took a look at the two best uninjured third base prospects in the game in Garin Cecchini and Maikel Franco. I’d love to tell you who won that battle, but I can’t, because I forgot to add a poll until Saturday afternoon. That means we only have five votes, whereas said polls generally get between 150-200. Sadz.

This week, I’m going to cover two of my personal favorite outfield prospects who’ve seen their stocks decline slightly over the past year. And this week, I’m going to include a poll at the bottom, because I learn quickly.

Prospect Smackdown No. 10: Brian Goodwin vs. Jake Marisnick

The Case for Goodwin

Goodwin is a very well-rounded prospect from a fantasy tools perspective, earning 5+ potential power and speed tools and a potential 6 hit tool grade from Jason Parks before the season began. The outfielder has also posted strong walk rates throughout the minors and profiles as a major leaguer who should be able to reach base with frequency. Goodwin is now in Triple-A, meaning he’s on the cusp of a MLB call-up, and it’s pretty exciting to think about his upside if allowed to bat near the top of the Nationals’ potent lineup. Goodwin should be especially valuable in OBP leagues, but even in leagues with standard category setups, a player who can hit .280 with 15 homers, 15 steals and a ton of runs is worthy of monitoring.   Continue reading

Breakout or Fakeout: Are These Hot Starting Pitchers For Real?

We are now a month into the 2014 season and there are several starting pitchers who are unexpectedly leading their fantasy teams to the top of the standings. Last week I reviewed some highly ranked ace pitchers that are off to terrible starts (read it here).  Today I will do the opposite and look at some pitchers that have come out of nowhere to post excellent numbers. None of these guys were ranked highly this Spring but they are all ranked in the top 20 for the season thus far.

Aaron Harang — 3-1 Record, 0.85 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, 33 Ks

Harang has been the 4th best pitcher in fantasy leagues so far, which is very impressive. When is the last time you saw an ERA lower than a WHIP (Buehrle too, below)? He is striking out a ton of batters, which is an indication he could have continued success. But this is not Harang’s first rodeo. We have seen this guy in the majors since way back in 2003, so we pretty much know everything there is to know about him — and we know he is not this good. Harang has been quite lucky with a microscopic .200 BABIP and a huge 89.3% strand rate so far. His xFIP is 3.75. Moving forward we should plan for him to pitch at a 3.60 ERA or higher, with a WHIP of 1.30. Verdict: Hold onto him and use him while he is hot.

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Scouting the Statline: Early Season Prospect Struggles

Periodically over the course of the season I’ll take the opportunity of this space to check in on how some notable fantasy prospects are performing down on the farm, and what that performance may or may not mean for your dynasty league. I’d like to kick off this series with a disclaimer that you should NEVER SCOUT MINOR LEAGUE STAT LINES. Listen to scouts and their firsthand reports on player progress and development, then make your decisions about how you value prospects according to those reports and your interpretation of how a given prospect appears to be developing.

Disclaimer acknowledged, stats do matter to the degree that they influence how other managers in your league (and, it’s okay to admit it, you) view prospects. So it’s important to have a handle on how players are performing as tradin’ time comes around. I plan to highlight players that are both playing above or below their scouted talent levels over the course of the season. At this point in the season, however, it’s unlikely that you’re going to be able to find any suckers who’ll put enough stock in a couple weeks’ worth of performance that they’ll sell you a player on the cheap. Nor are you likely to be able to flip a fringe prospect who’s come out guns a-blazin’ for true talent. So I’m going to focus here on a few higher end fantasy prospects who’ve struggled out of the gate, and you should consider this first edition more of a recommendation to keep an eye on these players. If their struggles persist for another couple weeks it may just make for a tasty window to pounce…

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Trader’s Corner: Big Names, Big Trades

This week features several top ten talents changing hands. As I’ve been reading through the emails sent in for this column, I can’t help but notice two things:

1. Our readers are really smart fantasy players who make savvy trades.

2. Our readers sometimes play in really complicated leagues!

Seriously, the response has been great so far and I think it’s a lot of fun to vote on fantasy trades like the ones coming in to Trader’s Corner. What gives it another dimension is we’ll be able to look back through some of these posts later to see how the trades really pan out. If you’d like to submit a recently completed or pending trade for a vote, send it to traderscornertdg@gmail.com. I can usually respond to most emails within a day or two to give you my take, and at the very least every trade submitted gets posted in the column. Without further ado…

Trade #1

12-team keeper, keep 6 (count as first 6 rounds), keep forever

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#TDGX Recap: Team Goldstein: Rounds 31-40

When we last left off, I was seven rounds into my “pick prospects until I fill out my minors” phase, having selected the likes of Nomar Mazara, Miguel Almonte, Nick Kingham, and Lewis Brinson among others. I continue that run to start my final ten picks, and then fill out the roster with some major league players. I’ll recap those players and the moves I’ve made since the season started below.

Round 31 – Pick 619 – Franchy Cordero, SS, San Diego Padres

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The #TDGX Transaction Report: Closers Be Expensive, Yo

You’ve been following TDGX. You love TDGX. We all love TDGX.  And every week here at The Dynasty Guru, I am going to be bringing you commentary from our flagship experts’ league, directly from the participants themselves. Today we’re going to cover all of the transactions made post-draft, including a few trades–one involving an elite prospect and another involving a potential high-end starting pitcher.

The goal here is to give you insight into the moves made by our group of experts so that you can use this information the next time you need to make a trade or prominent FA move in your league. So let’s not mess around with too much longer of an introduction. We’re going to break this up into three sections: trades, major league additions, minor league additions.

TRADES

4/17/14: Craig Glaser/Tom Trudeau trade Chris Colabello to Luke Chatelain for a 2015 3rd round pick

Tom: “As good as Colabello has been, trying to trade him felt like a race against time. We won him off waivers in hopes of quickly trading him to a team in need of a bat, but no one was biting. This second waive of productivity afforded us a chance to turn him into an asset, if only a modest one, before he turns into a pumpkin.”

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