In a perfect world, this update would have come out during the first week of June. But then again, last night I saw a ton of dinosaurs in 3-D, so let’s not blame the world here—it’s pretty freaking great. The truth is, as some of you already know, that I’ve been filling in this summer as Editor-in-Chief at Baseball Prospectus; and not surprisingly, that kind of thing takes up a lot of time. However, there’s no amount of busy that can keep me from updating the 500. And so here we are.
The last three months have seen a ton of movement on the list, and it’s come from multiple areas. First of all, the number of fantasy-relevant call ups have spiked and the upper prospect ranks have nearly been emptied—which also explains why there’s not a single prospect left in the top 60. On top of that, we’ve had many injuries since the February run. It started with Yu Darvish, Zack Wheeler, Jurickson Profar and Marcus Stroman back in spring training. It’s carried forward to Alex Cobb, David Wright, Devin Mesoraco and many, many more. This is all expected, of course, but it’s also been exaggerated this year.
As we move into heavy trade season in dynasty leagues, there’s a curiousness to values. A desire to destroy struggling veterans. A desire to deify the latest crop of young stars. And while a shift is certainly to be expected, a seismic one isn’t quite in the cards for most of these players. Robinson Cano has been terrible this year, but pretending that he jumpstarted his decline phase early and it’s going to continue to tumble further and further downhill from here is not an assumption that you’ll find here. He’s still clearly a top-100 player, and nearly a top-50 one. There are many more examples, but as you’ve noticed in previous years, the jumps up in the first in-season update are always much larger than the drops down. As they should be.
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Now that the shilling is over, the ranking shall begin. See you on the other side.