Trader’s Corner: Seeing Is Believing

I just took over a dynasty team. There are 30 teams in the league with 65-man rosters, so it’s deep. The team has some major league assets but there isn’t much going on in the farm. The trade deadline is in three weeks, and I can clear some cap space between now and then while getting some quality prospects in return if I play my cards right. The problem is that in a league this size, a “quality prospect” isn’t necessarily going to be a top 50 or even top 100 name. This is where it gets tricky for me when evaluating trades. I can go on the leaderboards and look up the stats on the players I don’t know, but that’s dangerous territory.

Since I don’t have much free time to visit every major league affiliate in America, my “eyes” need to be the first hand reports of the people who do see the games. Folks like fellow TDGX members Nathaniel Stoltz at Fangraphs and Mike Newman’s team at the new ROTOscouting.com are really invaluable tools to me in a league like this. I can see stats, but they can see the player in the flesh. Deep league dynasty players who are dabbling in lesser known prospects need to utilize actual scouting reports and information from the ballpark.

As always, send in your pending and completed trades to traderscornertdg@gmail.com. I will respond to each email and post the trades as polls here on the site. Here are this week’s trades… Continue reading

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Trade Targets: 4 Starting Pitchers to Go After and 1 to Avoid

This is a great time of year to make some trades. The All Star break is a natural time for people to evaluate their teams. Many team owners have now realized they are out of contention and may be willing to sell off some of their assets. Other owners who are in contention will want to beef up their squads before the upcoming trade deadline. For all of these reasons late July is historically a time when trading activity heats up. It is one of the best opportunities of the entire year to improve your team. Make sure you get in on the action!

Let’s take a look at some starting pitchers who can be expected to put up better stats in the 2nd half than they did in the 1st half. You should be able to obtain these guys at a bargain price compared to their future production…

Wade Miley — Arizona Diamondbacks

Miley’s season line of 5 Wins, 118 Ks, 4.18 ERA and WHIP of 1.24 isn’t very good. He is playing for one of the worst teams in baseball and they are unlikely to get better any time soon. Continue reading

Preparing for the Second Half Closer Carousel

Every year a couple Major League teams in contention, complete with Major League analytics and player evaluation departments, inevitably decide that in order to put themselves over the top and into the post-season the one thing they absolutely, positively cannot do without is a Proven Closer to nail down the ninth inning. So in the interest of keeping up with the times, let’s take a look at a couple of the potential heirs apparent in the event that some closers currently speculated to be on the block do end up changing laundry over the next couple weeks.

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Value is a tricky thing

So I’ve been thinking about this for some time, and yet it still feels like this is going to come out half baked, for which I apologize. I’m going to try not to delve too deep into numbers, even though they’re very important, because I don’t want people to get caught up in the examples so much as the concept itself. The concept in question is value. It’s a big word these days, and the focus of many minds, both in the fantasy and real life realms.

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#TDGX Transaction Report: Marco! ………………..(polo).

You’ve been following TDGX. You love TDGX. We all love TDGX.  And every week here at The Dynasty Guru, I am going to be bringing you commentary from our flagship experts’ league, directly from the participants themselves.

The goal here is to give you insight into the moves made by our group of experts so that you can use this information the next time you need to make a trade or prominent FA move in your league. So let’s not mess around with too much longer of an introduction. We’re going to break this up into three sections: trades, major league additions, minor league additions.

TRADES

Luke Chatelain trades Jaime Garcia, a fourth round pick and a fifth round pick to Andy Barnes/Noel Baldwin for Drew Smyly.

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Trader’s Corner: Take An All-Star Break

Everybody needs a break once in a while. The whole purpose of this column is to “judge” trades via polls, but can I ask that readers of my column take a break from something this season? Can we agree to take a break from bashing other people’s trades at this year’s fantasy deadline? Can we stop using the word “raped” when talking about a fantasy baseball trade? Can we admit that maybe we don’t have crystal balls and that even the worst looking deals sometimes end up favoring the “loser”? I’m asking because my guess is that most of us play in leagues where the same owners compete year to year and in most cases they are people we are friends with in real life. Don’t burn any bridges just because you think a deal was a dumb move. Talk to people on the internet the same way you’d talk to them if they were sitting across from you at your kitchen table. If you’d like your trade to appear in this column, simply email it along with your league’s details to traderscornertdg@gmail.com. Have a great All-Star Break and enjoy tonight’s game! Here are this week’s trades… Continue reading

Four Prospects I’d Like to See Traded at the Deadline

“Who are some prospects we might see traded for Giancarlo Stanton?”

“What do you think it would take to land David Price?”

“Can you believe what Kevin Towers did?”

Such are the questions we’re most accustomed to seeing when it comes to trade deadline analysis. Engaging in hypothetical trade discussions is fun, allows for midseason rosterbation and also gives us plenty of Twitter fodder. I don’t want these questions to go away.

That being said, they’re not entirely useful from a fantasy POV. Speculating on players who could change teams before they in fact change teams is a fool’s errand, and, unless you’re playing in AL- or NL-only leagues, is unnecessary to boot. When it comes to MLB trades, it’s better to read and react than try to predict.

What’s perhaps more useful than trying to ping down who might be dealt at the deadline is who we’d like to see dealt, from a fantasy POV. And while MLB players may come to mind more readily, it’s a useful exercise for prospects, too.

With this timely notion in mind, here are four prospects I’d like to see moved at the deadline thanks to contextual factors, organizational depth and what we know about each team’s player development. Continue reading